Parma 13%Draw 18%AS Roma 70%Expected goals 0.83 – 2.24
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAS Roma to win70% · @1.25
Double chanceAS Roma or draw87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.35
Parma vs AS Roma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 21 November: Parma v AS Roma in the Serie A, played at Stadio Ennio Tardini. In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; AS Roma are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Parma, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bologna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
AS Roma, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sassuolo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours AS Roma, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Parma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 0.8 xG, AS Roma 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 13%, draw 18%, AS Roma 70%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 0–2 AS Roma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma13%fair 7.85 · @10.00
Draw18%fair 5.69 · @5.25
AS Roma70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
3.07Expected goals
0.83Parma xG
2.24AS Roma xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Parma 0.8 – 2.2 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Parma
AS Roma
Attack vs Serie A average
-30%
+62%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-24%
Our expected goals here
0.84
2.26
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
AS Roma or draw
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
AS Roma (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
AS Roma -0.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
AS Roma to score first
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
LWDLLL
7 Nov
vs Bologna
1–2
L
2 Nov
@ Atalanta
3–0
W
28 Oct
vs Udinese
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lazio
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WLWWDW
7 Nov
vs Sassuolo
3–0
W
3 Nov
@ Manchester United
2–3
L
31 Oct
@ Udinese
5–2
W
27 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Napoli
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Slovan Bratislava
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and AS Roma.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Parma have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and AS Roma 70%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs AS Roma?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Parma 0–2 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Parma vs AS Roma?
Parma vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
