Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win70% · @1.36
Double chanceLazio or draw87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.40
Lazio vs Lecce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lecce travel to face Lazio on Saturday 21 November in the Serie A, with Stadio Olimpico the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Lazio are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Lecce are 14th (lower half) with 10. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lazio, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Napoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Lecce, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Torino, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Lecce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lazio 2.4 xG, Lecce 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lazio 70%, draw 18%, Lecce 13%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Lazio to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lazio 2–0 Lecce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lazio70%fair 1.44 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.75
Lecce13%fair 8.00 · @8.00
3.24Expected goals
2.36Lazio xG
0.89Lecce xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Lazio 2.4 – 0.9 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lazio
Lecce
Attack vs Serie A average
+32%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.52
0.93
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win
70%
1.44
1.36
Double chance
Lazio or draw
87%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Lazio -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Lazio to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Lazio – last 6
DWWWWW
8 Nov
@ Napoli
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs Cagliari
2–1
W
27 Oct
@ Sassuolo
6–2
W
24 Oct
vs Parma
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Juventus
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Monza
3–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lecce – last 6
DLLLWL
7 Nov
@ Torino
1–1
D
1 Nov
vs Genoa
1–2
L
29 Oct
@ Frosinone
1–5
L
25 Oct
vs Juventus
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Udinese
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Bologna
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Lecce.
Our pick is Lazio to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?
On our numbers Lazio have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lecce 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Lecce?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Lecce?
Our predicted score is Lazio 2–0 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Lecce?
Lazio vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
