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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Fredericia v Mafra: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT

Mafra

WWLWW
FC Fredericia 52%Draw 22%Mafra 26% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.11
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: FC Fredericia to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Fredericia to win ✓52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

FC Fredericia vs Mafra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mafra travel to face FC Fredericia on Wednesday 15 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.

Current form

FC Fredericia, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Holstein Kiel, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Mafra, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Esbjerg, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mafra, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for FC Fredericia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Fredericia 1.8 xG, Mafra 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Fredericia 52%, draw 22%, Mafra 26%.
  • Price worth noting: FC Fredericia to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Fredericia 2–1 Mafra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Fredericia52%fair 1.93 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Mafra26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
2.93Expected goals
1.82FC Fredericia xG
1.11Mafra xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: FC Fredericia 1.8 – 1.1 Mafra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FC FredericiaMafra
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+12%+3%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-11%
Our expected goals here1.991.06

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Fredericia to win ✓52%1.932.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.00–
Draw no betFC Fredericia (draw no bet) ✓67%1.50–
Asian handicapMafra +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.711.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreFC Fredericia to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultFC Fredericia ahead at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Fredericia / FT FC Fredericia ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

FC Fredericia – last 6

WWLLDD
4 Jul@ Holstein Kiel3–1W
17 Mayvs Silkeborg4–1W
10 May@ Vejle0–2L
26 Aprvs Odense0–2L
23 Apr@ Randers FC2–2D
19 Apr@ Silkeborg2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mafra – last 6

WWLWWL
11 Jul@ Esbjerg2–0W
3 May@ Guimaraes B2–0W
19 Aprvs Amarante1–4L
11 Apr@ Varzim2–0W
3 Aprvs União Santarém2–1W
8 Marvs Guimaraes B1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Fredericia and Mafra.

FC Fredericia vs Mafra head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Fredericia vs Mafra?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win FC Fredericia vs Mafra?

On our numbers FC Fredericia have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mafra 26%.

How many goals will there be in FC Fredericia vs Mafra?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Fredericia vs Mafra?

Our predicted score is FC Fredericia 2–1 Mafra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is FC Fredericia vs Mafra?

FC Fredericia vs Mafra (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.