Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.72 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Rostov to win ✓49% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.18
FC Rostov vs Fakel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fakel travel to face FC Rostov on Wednesday 15 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
FC Rostov, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with FC Krasnodar, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Fakel, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Akron, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jul 2026) it ended Fakel 3–1 FC Rostov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Rostov 1.6 xG, Fakel 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Rostov 49%, draw 23%, Fakel 28%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.72.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Rostov 1–1 Fakel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Rostov49%fair 2.03 · @1.82
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.54
Fakel28%fair 3.63 · @4.15
3.06Expected goals
1.64FC Rostov xG
1.42Fakel xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Rostov 1.6 – 1.4 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Rostov
Fakel
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+8%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.78
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win FC Rostov vs Fakel?
On our numbers FC Rostov have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fakel 28%.
How many goals will there be in FC Rostov vs Fakel?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Rostov vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is FC Rostov 1–1 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Rostov vs Fakel?
FC Rostov vs Fakel (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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