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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Red Bull Salzburg v Gamba Osaka: numbers & prediction

0–3
FT
Red Bull Salzburg 55%Draw 20%Gamba Osaka 25% Expected goals 2.22 – 1.23
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1

Value bet: Red Bull Salzburg to win @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✗55% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gamba Osaka travel to face Red Bull Salzburg on Wednesday 15 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Red Bull Salzburg, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Gamba Osaka, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Sparta Praha, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Red Bull Salzburg, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Gamba Osaka.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Red Bull Salzburg 2.2 xG, Gamba Osaka 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Red Bull Salzburg 55%, draw 20%, Gamba Osaka 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.45.
  • Price worth noting: Red Bull Salzburg to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 Gamba Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Red Bull Salzburg55%fair 1.82 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.75
Gamba Osaka25%fair 4.05 · @2.85
3.45Expected goals
2.22Red Bull Salzburg xG
1.23Gamba Osaka xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Red Bull Salzburg 2.2 – 1.2 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Red Bull SalzburgGamba Osaka
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+9%-2%
Goals conceded vs average-5%-6%
Our expected goals here2.611.13

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✗55%1.822.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.521.45
Draw no betRed Bull Salzburg (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapGamba Osaka +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.741.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
First team to scoreRed Bull Salzburg to score first ✗62%1.60–
Half-time resultRed Bull Salzburg ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Red Bull Salzburg / FT Red Bull Salzburg ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Red Bull Salzburg – last 6

WWWLLW
9 Julvs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv4–0W
4 Julvs Gornik Zabrze2–1W
26 Jun@ Seekirchen5–0W
17 Mayvs TSV Hartberg1–3L
26 Apr@ Rapid Vienna0–1L
22 Aprvs Austria Vienna3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Gamba Osaka – last 6

LWDWLL
11 Jul@ Sparta Praha0–3L
6 Jun@ Tokyo Verdy4–2W
30 Mayvs Tokyo Verdy1–1D
24 May@ Shimizu S-pulse2–1W
10 Mayvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1L
6 May@ Nagoya Grampus1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Red Bull Salzburg and Gamba Osaka.

Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka?

On our numbers Red Bull Salzburg have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gamba Osaka 25%.

How many goals will there be in Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka?

Our predicted score is Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka?

Red Bull Salzburg vs Gamba Osaka (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 15 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.