Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Erzgebirge Aue v 1899 Hoffenheim: numbers & prediction

DFB Pokal · Germany · Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue

LWWWD
0–4
FT

1899 Hoffenheim

DLWWW
Erzgebirge Aue 6%Draw 17%1899 Hoffenheim 77% Expected goals 0.88 – 2.99
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

Result1899 Hoffenheim to win ✓77% · @1.11
Double chance1899 Hoffenheim or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.18

Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

1899 Hoffenheim travel to face Erzgebirge Aue on Saturday 22 August in the DFB Pokal, with Erzgebirgsstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Erzgebirge Aue, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Chemnitzer FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

1899 Hoffenheim, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tottenham, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Erzgebirge Aue 0.9 xG, 1899 Hoffenheim 3.0 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Erzgebirge Aue 6%, draw 17%, 1899 Hoffenheim 77%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Erzgebirge Aue 0–3 1899 Hoffenheim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Erzgebirge Aue6%fair 17.44 · @17.00
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @7.80
1899 Hoffenheim77%fair 1.29 · @1.11
3.87Expected goals
0.88Erzgebirge Aue xG
2.991899 Hoffenheim xG
56%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–29%
0–39%
1–28%
1–38%
0–47%
0–16%

From our goals model: Erzgebirge Aue 0.9 – 3.0 1899 Hoffenheim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1899 Hoffenheim to win ✓77%1.291.11
Double chance1899 Hoffenheim or draw ✓94%1.06–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.95 ▲
Draw no bet1899 Hoffenheim (draw no bet) ✓93%1.07–
Asian handicap1899 Hoffenheim -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.121.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.551.48
First team to score1899 Hoffenheim to score first ✓76%1.32–
Half-time result1899 Hoffenheim ahead at half-time ✓60%1.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT 1899 Hoffenheim / FT 1899 Hoffenheim ✓57%1.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.18–

Recent results

Erzgebirge Aue – last 6

LWWWDL
15 Aug@ Chemnitzer FC1–3L
9 Augvs BFC Preussen2–1W
6 Augvs BFC Dynamo3–2W
31 Jul@ Tasmania Berlin2–0W
25 Julvs Altglienicke3–3D
19 Julvs FC Schalke 042–4L
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

1899 Hoffenheim – last 6

DLWWWD
16 Aug@ Tottenham2–2D
15 Aug@ Tottenham0–3L
1 Augvs Karlsruher SC3–0W
29 Julvs Holstein Kiel3–1W
18 Jul@ SGV Freiberg3–0W
10 Apr@ FC Augsburg2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Erzgebirge Aue and 1899 Hoffenheim.

Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim head-to-head page →

More DFB Pokal predictions

League hub
FT Energie Cottbus0 FC Augsburg2 115%4.50X23%4.30262%1.58 1.1–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✗
FT SV Wehen0 Bayer Leverkusen4 111%14.00X18%7.50271%1.13 1.1–2.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT MSV Duisburg1 SV Elversberg3 123%3.40X15%4.00262%1.82 1.2–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.42 ✓
FT Hemelingen1 Hannover 969 13%101.00X50%29.00246%1.02 XDraw 50%@29.00 ✗
FT FC Saarbrücken1 Hertha BSC1 Pens 2–4 120%3.10X50%3.70230%2.02 1.4–1.7xG X2Hertha BSC or draw 80%@1.35 ✓
FT FC Viktoria Köln1 1. FC Nürnberg1 Pens 4–5 121%4.30X19%4.00260%1.65 1.1–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.48 ✓
FT Eintracht Trier0 RB Leipzig6 110%38.00X14%12.50275%1.02 1.4–3.5xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2 Arminia Bielefeld2 Pens 3–0 112%5.50X22%4.20266%1.49 1.0–2.4xG 2Arminia Bielefeld to win 66%@1.49 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

On our numbers Erzgebirge Aue have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 17% and 1899 Hoffenheim 77%.

How many goals will there be in Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our predicted score is Erzgebirge Aue 0–3 1899 Hoffenheim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Erzgebirgsstadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.