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FC Saarbrücken v Hertha BSC: numbers & prediction

DFB Pokal · Germany · Ludwigspark-Stadion
1–1
FTPens 2–4
FC Saarbrücken 20%Draw 50%Hertha BSC 30% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.68
80%
Betarazi pick

Hertha BSC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.35Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.70 – our chance 50% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✓50% · @3.70
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓80% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 15.49

FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hertha BSC travel to face FC Saarbrücken on Saturday 22 August in the DFB Pokal, with Ludwigspark-Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.

Current form

FC Saarbrücken, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SSV Jahn Regensburg, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hertha BSC, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over 1. FC Heidenheim, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Saarbrücken 1.4 xG, Hertha BSC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Saarbrücken 20%, draw 50%, Hertha BSC 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hertha BSC or draw (80%) at 1.35.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hertha BSC or draw (80%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Hertha BSC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Saarbrücken20%fair 5.01 · @3.10
Draw50%fair 2.01 · @3.70
Hertha BSC30%fair 3.29 · @2.02
3.12Expected goals
1.44FC Saarbrücken xG
1.68Hertha BSC xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: FC Saarbrücken 1.4 – 1.7 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✓50%2.013.70 ▲
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓80%1.251.35 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.48
Draw no betHertha BSC (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapFC Saarbrücken +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
First team to scoreHertha BSC to score first51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6%15.49–

Recent results

FC Saarbrücken – last 6

WWDDDW
16 Aug@ SSV Jahn Regensburg1–0W
9 Augvs Rot-Weiß Essen5–2W
26 Jul@ VfR Aalen1–1D
25 Jul@ FC Augsburg1–1D
18 Jul@ SV Sandhausen0–0D
4 Jul@ Quierschied2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Hertha BSC – last 6

WWDDLW
15 Augvs 1. FC Heidenheim4–1W
7 Aug@ VfL Bochum1–0W
31 Jul@ 1. FC Köln2–2D
21 Julvs Mamelodi Sundowns1–1D
17 Jul@ WSG Wattens2–3L
11 Jul@ Lokomotive Leipzig3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Saarbrücken and Hertha BSC.

FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC head-to-head page →

More DFB Pokal predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?

Our pick is Hertha BSC or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?

On our numbers FC Saarbrücken have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Hertha BSC 30%.

How many goals will there be in FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?

Our predicted score is FC Saarbrücken 1–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC?

FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Ludwigspark-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.