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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg: numbers & prediction

DFB Pokal · Germany · Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena

MSV Duisburg

WWDDL
1–3
FT

SV Elversberg

WDWWL
MSV Duisburg 23%Draw 15%SV Elversberg 62% Expected goals 1.18 – 2.13
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2

Value bet: SV Elversberg to win @ 1.82 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSV Elversberg to win ✓62% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23

MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Saturday 22 August: MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg in the DFB Pokal, played at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.

Current form

MSV Duisburg, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Verl, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

SV Elversberg, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Lorient, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MSV Duisburg 1.2 xG, SV Elversberg 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MSV Duisburg 23%, draw 15%, SV Elversberg 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
  • Price worth noting: SV Elversberg to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: MSV Duisburg 1–2 SV Elversberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MSV Duisburg23%fair 4.33 · @3.40
Draw15%fair 6.56 · @4.00
SV Elversberg62%fair 1.62 · @1.82
3.31Expected goals
1.18MSV Duisburg xG
2.13SV Elversberg xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 1.2 – 2.1 SV Elversberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSV Elversberg to win ✓62%1.621.82 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.42
Draw no betSV Elversberg (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapMSV Duisburg +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
First team to scoreSV Elversberg to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultSV Elversberg ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT SV Elversberg / FT SV Elversberg ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

MSV Duisburg – last 6

WWDDLW
15 Aug@ Verl4–2W
8 Augvs SV Meppen3–0W
1 Aug@ Sparta Rotterdam0–0D
25 Jul@ Arminia Bielefeld1–1D
22 Julvs Beerschot VA2–4L
18 Jul@ Bonner SC4–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

SV Elversberg – last 6

WDWWLD
15 Augvs Lorient4–1W
8 Aug@ Mallorca1–1D
4 Aug@ Strasbourg5–2W
25 Jul@ NEC Nijmegen1–0W
17 Jul@ FC Viktoria Köln1–2L
11 Jul@ FC Thun1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and SV Elversberg.

MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg head-to-head page →

More DFB Pokal predictions

League hub
FT Energie Cottbus0 FC Augsburg2 115%4.50X23%4.30262%1.58 1.1–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.42 ✗
FT SV Wehen0 Bayer Leverkusen4 111%14.00X18%7.50271%1.13 1.1–2.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Erzgebirge Aue0 1899 Hoffenheim4 16%17.00X17%7.80277%1.11 0.9–3.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Hemelingen1 Hannover 969 13%101.00X50%29.00246%1.02 XDraw 50%@29.00 ✗
FT FC Saarbrücken1 Hertha BSC1 Pens 2–4 120%3.10X50%3.70230%2.02 1.4–1.7xG X2Hertha BSC or draw 80%@1.35 ✓
FT FC Viktoria Köln1 1. FC Nürnberg1 Pens 4–5 121%4.30X19%4.00260%1.65 1.1–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.48 ✓
FT Eintracht Trier0 RB Leipzig6 110%38.00X14%12.50275%1.02 1.4–3.5xG O3.5Over 3.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓
FT SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2 Arminia Bielefeld2 Pens 3–0 112%5.50X22%4.20266%1.49 1.0–2.4xG 2Arminia Bielefeld to win 66%@1.49 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?

On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and SV Elversberg 62%.

How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?

Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 1–2 SV Elversberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg?

MSV Duisburg vs SV Elversberg (DFB Pokal) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.