Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico San Luis welcome Cruz Azul to Alfonso Lastras Ramirez for a Liga MX fixture on Saturday 18 July (02:00 WAT). In the table, Atletico San Luis are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico San Luis, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Mineros de Zacatecas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Cruz Azul, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Monarcas, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 3–0 Atletico San Luis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico San Luis 1.2 xG, Cruz Azul 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico San Luis 24%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 53%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico San Luis24%fair 4.25 · @3.95
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.65
Cruz Azul53%fair 1.87 · @1.85
2.98Expected goals
1.17Atletico San Luis xG
1.81Cruz Azul xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.2 – 1.8 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico San Luis
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
-18%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.86
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 53%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul?
Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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