FC Juarez vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the Liga MX brings FC Juarez against Puebla at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, FC Juarez are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
FC Juarez, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colorado Rapids, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Puebla, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Atlas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Juarez, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Puebla.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Puebla 1–1 FC Juarez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Juarez 1.5 xG, Puebla 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Juarez 50%, draw 25%, Puebla 25%.
Lower-risk option: FC Juarez or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Juarez 1–1 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Juarez50%fair 2.01 · @1.66
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.90
Puebla25%fair 3.98 · @4.75
2.75Expected goals
1.50FC Juarez xG
1.25Puebla xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: FC Juarez 1.5 – 1.2 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Juarez
Puebla
Attack vs Liga MX average
-25%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.41
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Juarez vs Puebla?
On our numbers FC Juarez have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Puebla 25%.
How many goals will there be in FC Juarez vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Juarez vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is FC Juarez 1–1 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Juarez vs Puebla?
FC Juarez vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leon2