Atlas travel to face Leon on Saturday 18 July in the Liga MX, with Estadio Leon the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Leon, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Necaxa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Atlas, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Puebla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Atlas.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Leon 2–0 Atlas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.7 xG, Atlas 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 46%, draw 25%, Atlas 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–1 Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon46%fair 2.16 · @2.12
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.35
Atlas29%fair 3.44 · @3.30
2.99Expected goals
1.68Leon xG
1.31Atlas xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leon 1.7 – 1.3 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leon
Atlas
Attack vs Liga MX average
-3%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.79
1.42
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Leon vs Atlas?
On our numbers Leon have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlas 29%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Atlas?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Atlas?
Leon vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
