Value bet: CF Pachuca to win @ 2.92 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCF Pachuca to win ✓38% · @2.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 19 July: U.N.A.M. - Pumas v CF Pachuca in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Olimpico Universitario. In the table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; CF Pachuca are 8th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to America de Cali, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
CF Pachuca, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Puebla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CF Pachuca, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Head to head
When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–0 CF Pachuca. The last 3 head-to-heads: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 wins, CF Pachuca 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.3 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.4 xG, CF Pachuca 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – U.N.A.M. - Pumas 38%, draw 25%, CF Pachuca 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: CF Pachuca to win @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 CF Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas38%fair 2.67 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.45
CF Pachuca38%fair 2.64 · @2.92
2.91Expected goals
1.41U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.50CF Pachuca xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.4 – 1.5 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
Attack vs Liga MX average
+5%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.61
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CF Pachuca 38%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Universitario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
