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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monterrey v Santos Laguna: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio BBVA
3–2
FT
Monterrey 54%Draw 22%Santos Laguna 24% Expected goals 1.77 – 1.38
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonterrey to win ✓54% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:05 WAT, Sunday 19 July: Monterrey v Santos Laguna in the Liga MX, played at Estadio BBVA. In the table, Monterrey are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Santos Laguna are 6th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

Monterrey, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlante FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Santos Laguna, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over NY Cosmos, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended Santos Laguna 3–0 Monterrey.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 1.8 xG, Santos Laguna 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 54%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 1–1 Santos Laguna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monterrey54%fair 1.85 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.35
Santos Laguna24%fair 4.20 · @5.10
3.16Expected goals
1.77Monterrey xG
1.38Santos Laguna xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Monterrey 1.8 – 1.4 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MonterreySantos Laguna
Attack vs Liga MX average+5%+0%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-14%
Our expected goals here1.451.55

Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterrey to win ✓54%1.851.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.48
Draw no betMonterrey (draw no bet) ✓69%1.44–
Asian handicapSantos Laguna +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.721.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.321.30
First team to scoreMonterrey to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterrey / FT Monterrey ✓28%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.80–

Recent results

Monterrey – last 6

DWLWLD
4 Jul@ Atlante FC1–1D
21 Jun@ Cancún4–1W
27 Apr@ Santos Laguna0–3L
22 Aprvs Puebla2–1W
19 Aprvs Pachuca1–3L
12 Apr@ Atlas0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Santos Laguna – last 6

WWWLLL
28 Jun@ NY Cosmos2–1W
24 Jun@ Annapolis Blues2–0W
27 Aprvs Monterrey3–0W
23 Apr@ Atletico San Luis0–2L
20 Aprvs Atlas0–1L
12 Apr@ Pachuca2–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Santos Laguna v Monterrey3–0
Monterrey vs Santos Laguna head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

On our numbers Monterrey have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santos Laguna 24%.

How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

Our predicted score is Monterrey 1–1 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?

Monterrey vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.