Leon vs CF Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Leon v CF Pachuca in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Leon.
Current form
Leon, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Tijuana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
CF Pachuca, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Club Queretaro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CF Pachuca, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Leon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.3 xG, CF Pachuca 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 32%, draw 25%, CF Pachuca 43%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–1 CF Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon32%fair 3.13 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.45
CF Pachuca43%fair 2.30 · @2.30
2.89Expected goals
1.31Leon xG
1.58CF Pachuca xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Leon 1.3 – 1.6 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leon
CF Pachuca
Attack vs Liga MX average
-3%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.30
1.59
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Pachuca to win✗
43%
2.30
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
CF Pachuca (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Leon +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
CF Pachuca to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Pachuca / FT CF Pachuca✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Leon – last 6
LLDWWL
25 Jul
@ Club Tijuana
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Atlas
2–3
L
11 Jul
vs Necaxa
0–0
D
3 Jul
vs Tapatío
4–2
W
27 Jun
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
7–4
W
26 Apr
@ Toluca
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
CF Pachuca – last 6
LWWLWW
27 Jul
vs Club Queretaro
1–2
L
19 Jul
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3–0
W
4 Jul
vs Puebla
3–1
W
18 May
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–1
L
15 May
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–0
W
11 May
vs Toluca
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and CF Pachuca.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leon vs CF Pachuca?
On our numbers Leon have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CF Pachuca 43%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs CF Pachuca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs CF Pachuca?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Leon vs CF Pachuca?
Leon vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
