Cruz Azul 70%Draw 18%Atlante FC 11%Expected goals 2.37 – 0.91
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗70% · @1.32
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✗89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul welcome Atlante FC to Estadio Banorte for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 2 August (04:05 WAT). In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Atlante FC are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Toluca, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Atlante FC, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club America, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Atlante FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.4 xG, Atlante FC 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 70%, draw 18%, Atlante FC 11%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–0 Atlante FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul70%fair 1.42 · @1.32
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.80
Atlante FC11%fair 8.78 · @9.75
3.27Expected goals
2.37Cruz Azul xG
0.91Atlante FC xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.4 – 0.9 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Atlante FC
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+10%
Our expected goals here
2.46
1.00
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✗
70%
1.42
1.32
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul -1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.20
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first✗
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul – last 6
WWWDWD
26 Jul
@ Toluca
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Puebla
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
5 Jul
@ Monarcas
3–3
D
25 May
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–1
W
22 May
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atlante FC – last 6
DLDDDL
25 Jul
vs Club America
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Necaxa
1–2
L
10 Jul
vs Toluca
3–3
D
4 Jul
vs Monterrey
1–1
D
2 Jul
@ New Mexico United
3–3
D
28 Jun
@ FC Juarez
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Atlante FC.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atlante FC 11%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–0 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC?
Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leon1