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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Puebla v Santos Laguna: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla

WLLLD
3–2
FT
Puebla 48%Draw 21%Santos Laguna 30% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.12
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultPuebla to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Puebla vs Santos Laguna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Puebla welcome Santos Laguna to Estadio Cuauhtemoc for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 23 August (02:00 WAT). In the table, Puebla are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Santos Laguna are 6th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

Puebla, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over CF Pachuca, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Santos Laguna, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guadalajara Chivas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Santos Laguna 2–1 Puebla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Puebla 1.5 xG, Santos Laguna 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla 48%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla 1–1 Santos Laguna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Puebla48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Santos Laguna30%fair 3.31 · @3.00
2.63Expected goals
1.51Puebla xG
1.12Santos Laguna xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Puebla 1.5 – 1.1 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPuebla to win ✓48%2.072.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.55
Draw no betPuebla (draw no bet) ✓62%1.63–
Asian handicapSantos Laguna +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scorePuebla to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Puebla / FT Puebla ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

Puebla – last 6

WLLLDL
18 Aug@ CF Pachuca3–2W
13 Aug@ San Diego2–3L
10 Aug@ Austin0–3L
7 Aug@ Portland Timbers2–5L
1 Augvs Guadalajara Chivas1–1D
22 Jul@ Cruz Azul1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Santos Laguna – last 6

LWLLLL
17 Augvs Guadalajara Chivas0–1L
14 Aug@ Philadelphia Union2–0W
10 Aug@ Chicago Fire1–3L
7 Aug@ New York City FC0–2L
3 Aug@ Club America0–3L
26 Julvs Atlas0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Mar 2026Santos Laguna v Puebla2–1
Puebla vs Santos Laguna head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

On our numbers Puebla have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santos Laguna 30%.

How many goals will there be in Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

Our predicted score is Puebla 1–1 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Puebla vs Santos Laguna?

Puebla vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.