Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✗85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Cruz Azul vs Atlas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Liga MX brings Cruz Azul against Atlas at Estadio Banorte. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Atlas are 5th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Club Tijuana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Atlas, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tigres UANL, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 1–0 Atlas. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cruz Azul 2 wins, Atlas 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.3 xG, Atlas 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 66%, draw 19%, Atlas 15%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cruz Azul to win (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–1 Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul66%fair 1.52 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Atlas15%fair 6.84 · @5.00
3.38Expected goals
2.35Cruz Azul xG
1.03Atlas xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.3 – 1.0 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Cruz Azul to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atlas 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Cruz Azul vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
