Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas welcome Club Tijuana to Estadio Akron for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 23 August (00:07 WAT). In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Club Tijuana are 9th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Santos Laguna, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Club Tijuana, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cruz Azul, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Club Tijuana.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Club Tijuana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 1.8 xG, Club Tijuana 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 70%, draw 18%, Club Tijuana 12%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas70%fair 1.44 · @1.49
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.30
Club Tijuana12%fair 8.12 · @6.20
2.39Expected goals
1.82Guadalajara Chivas xG
0.56Club Tijuana xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 1.8 – 0.6 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Club Tijuana 12%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 00:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
