Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlas to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Liga MX brings Atlas against U.N.A.M. - Pumas at Estadio Jalisco. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atlas are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Atlas, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Toluca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Guadalajara Chivas, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atlas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas 1.6 xG, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas 40%, draw 25%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas40%fair 2.52 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
U.N.A.M. - Pumas36%fair 2.80 · @2.80
3.06Expected goals
1.58Atlas xG
1.48U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.6 – 1.5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas to win✗
40%
2.52
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Draw no bet
Atlas (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
U.N.A.M. - Pumas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Atlas to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Atlas – last 6
LDLWWW
13 Sep
@ Toluca
2–5
L
6 Sep
vs Atlante FC
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Club Queretaro
1–3
L
23 Aug
@ Cruz Azul
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 6
LWLDDD
14 Sep
@ Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Leon
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Club Tijuana
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Necaxa
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Club Queretaro
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Columbus Crew
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
What is the prediction for Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
On our numbers Atlas have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 36%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Atlas vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
