Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monterrey welcome Cruz Azul to Estadio BBVA for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 20 September (02:10 WAT). In the table, Monterrey are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
Monterrey, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tigres UANL, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cruz Azul, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inter Miami, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Monterrey.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 1–1 Monterrey. The last 3 head-to-heads: Monterrey 0 wins, Cruz Azul 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 1.8 xG, Cruz Azul 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 40%, draw 22%, Cruz Azul 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Cruz Azul to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterrey40%fair 2.50 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Cruz Azul38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
3.53Expected goals
1.78Monterrey xG
1.75Cruz Azul xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Monterrey 1.8 – 1.7 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Monterrey have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cruz Azul 38%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Monterrey 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Monterrey vs Cruz Azul?
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
