Atletico San Luis 38%Draw 23%Necaxa 39%Expected goals 1.39 – 1.42
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Necaxa to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNecaxa to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Atletico San Luis v Necaxa in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Libertad Financiera. In the table, Atletico San Luis are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Necaxa are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Atletico San Luis, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Leon, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Necaxa, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Puebla, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico San Luis 1.4 xG, Necaxa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico San Luis 38%, draw 23%, Necaxa 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Necaxa to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Necaxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico San Luis38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Necaxa39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.81Expected goals
1.39Atletico San Luis xG
1.42Necaxa xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.4 – 1.4 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Necaxa to win✗
39%
2.55
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Draw no bet
Necaxa (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Atletico San Luis +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Necaxa to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Necaxa / FT Necaxa✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Atletico San Luis – last 6
LLWDLD
15 Sep
@ Leon
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Guadalajara Chivas
0–3
L
31 Aug
@ Monterrey
3–1
W
24 Aug
vs CF Pachuca
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Club America
0–3
L
13 Aug
@ Orlando City SC
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Necaxa – last 6
LDLDLW
12 Sep
vs Puebla
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Tigres UANL
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Cruz Azul
1–3
L
24 Aug
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Leon
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ New York City FC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Necaxa.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Necaxa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa?
Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Libertad Financiera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
