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Atlante FC v Monterrey: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Azul
4–2
FT
Atlante FC 32%Draw 21%Monterrey 47% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.55
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMonterrey to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89

Atlante FC vs Monterrey: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 26 September the Liga MX brings Atlante FC against Monterrey at Estadio Azul. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Atlante FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Monterrey are 10th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Atlante FC, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Puebla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Monterrey, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cruz Azul, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Monterrey, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Atlante FC.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Atlante FC 1–1 Monterrey.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlante FC 1.2 xG, Monterrey 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlante FC 32%, draw 21%, Monterrey 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlante FC 1–1 Monterrey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlante FC32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.60
Monterrey47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
2.77Expected goals
1.22Atlante FC xG
1.55Monterrey xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Atlante FC 1.2 – 1.6 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterrey to win ✗47%2.132.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betMonterrey (draw no bet) ✗60%1.68–
Asian handicapAtlante FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.201.17
First team to scoreMonterrey to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterrey / FT Monterrey ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.89–

Recent results

Atlante FC – last 6

DLDDLD
19 Sep@ Puebla1–1D
12 Sepvs CF Pachuca0–3L
6 Sep@ Atlas1–1D
29 Augvs Leon1–1D
22 Aug@ Tigres UANL0–2L
16 Augvs Toluca0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Monterrey – last 6

WDLDLW
20 Sepvs Cruz Azul1–0W
13 Sepvs Tigres UANL0–0D
7 Sep@ Toluca0–2L
3 Sep@ Club America2–2D
31 Augvs Atletico San Luis1–3L
26 Augvs Chicago Fire2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Atlante FC v Monterrey1–1
Atlante FC vs Monterrey head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlante FC vs Monterrey?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atlante FC vs Monterrey?

On our numbers Atlante FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monterrey 47%.

How many goals will there be in Atlante FC vs Monterrey?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlante FC vs Monterrey?

Our predicted score is Atlante FC 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Atlante FC vs Monterrey?

Atlante FC vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azul.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.