Value bet: Atlas to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultClub Tijuana to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Club Tijuana vs Atlas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Club Tijuana v Atlas in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Caliente . In the table, Club Tijuana are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Atlas are 5th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Club Tijuana, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with CF Pachuca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Atlas, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with U.N.A.M. - Pumas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Atlas 2–1 Club Tijuana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Tijuana 1.6 xG, Atlas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Tijuana 48%, draw 22%, Atlas 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Atlas to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Tijuana 1–1 Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Tijuana48%fair 2.09 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.50
Atlas31%fair 3.27 · @3.60
2.83Expected goals
1.61Club Tijuana xG
1.22Atlas xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Club Tijuana 1.6 – 1.2 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
On our numbers Club Tijuana have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlas 31%.
How many goals will there be in Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Club Tijuana 1–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Club Tijuana vs Atlas?
Club Tijuana vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente .
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
