Wednesday 11 November 2026 13 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toluca v Club Tijuana: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca

DLDLW
2–2
FT

Club Tijuana

DDLDL
Toluca 73%Draw 17%Club Tijuana 10% Expected goals 2.33 – 0.76
73%
Betarazi pick

Toluca to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultToluca to win ✗73% · @1.22
Double chanceToluca or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Toluca vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 22 October the Liga MX brings Toluca against Club Tijuana at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Toluca are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 16 matches; Club Tijuana are 9th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Toluca, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico San Luis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Club Tijuana, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Puebla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Toluca 1–0 Club Tijuana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toluca 2.3 xG, Club Tijuana 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca 73%, draw 17%, Club Tijuana 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Toluca to win (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca 2–0 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toluca73%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @5.50
Club Tijuana10%fair 9.77 · @8.50
3.09Expected goals
2.33Toluca xG
0.76Club Tijuana xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Toluca 2.3 – 0.8 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToluca to win ✗73%1.381.22
Double chanceToluca or draw ✓90%1.111.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.62
Draw no betToluca (draw no bet)88%1.14–
Asian handicapToluca -1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreToluca to score first ✗72%1.39–
Half-time resultToluca ahead at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toluca / FT Toluca ✗49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.67–

Recent results

Toluca – last 6

DLDLWW
18 Octvs Atletico San Luis1–1D
10 Oct@ Tigres UANL2–3L
26 Sep@ Cruz Azul3–3D
21 Sepvs Santos Laguna2–3L
16 Sep@ Puebla1–0W
13 Sepvs Atlas5–2W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Club Tijuana – last 6

DDLDLW
17 Octvs Puebla0–0D
11 Oct@ FC Juarez1–1D
26 Sepvs Atlas2–3L
21 Sep@ CF Pachuca2–2D
12 Sepvs Club Queretaro0–1L
29 Augvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Toluca v Club Tijuana1–0
Toluca vs Club Tijuana head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub
FT Atlas2 Club America5 122%3.10X22%3.40256%1.95 1.3–2.1xG X2Club America or draw 78%@1.30 ✓
FT Puebla1 Monterrey4 117%3.75X22%3.40261%1.75 0.8–1.8xG X2Monterrey or draw 83%@1.22 ✓
FT CF Pachuca1 Cruz Azul2 133%2.80X22%3.25245%2.15 1.6–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✓
FT Santos Laguna2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas0 145%2.10X21%3.25234%2.80 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Our pick is Toluca to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

On our numbers Toluca have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Club Tijuana 10%.

How many goals will there be in Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Our predicted score is Toluca 2–0 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Toluca vs Club Tijuana?

Toluca vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Diez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.