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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Hidalgo
1–2
FT
CF Pachuca 33%Draw 22%Cruz Azul 45% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.87
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultCruz Azul to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.45

CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

04:10 WAT, Thursday 22 October: CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Hidalgo. In the table, CF Pachuca are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32.

Current form

CF Pachuca, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Monterrey, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Cruz Azul, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over FC Juarez, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 1–2 Pachuca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CF Pachuca 1.6 xG, Cruz Azul 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CF Pachuca 33%, draw 22%, Cruz Azul 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Pachuca 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CF Pachuca33%fair 2.99 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Cruz Azul45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
3.46Expected goals
1.59CF Pachuca xG
1.87Cruz Azul xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%

From our goals model: CF Pachuca 1.6 – 1.9 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCruz Azul to win ✓45%2.232.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.50
Draw no betCruz Azul (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapCF Pachuca +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
First team to scoreCruz Azul to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.45–

Recent results

CF Pachuca – last 6

LDLDWW
19 Oct@ Monterrey1–2L
12 Octvs Necaxa3–3D
27 Sep@ Santos Laguna0–1L
21 Sepvs Club Tijuana2–2D
12 Sep@ Atlante FC3–0W
5 Sep@ FC Juarez2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cruz Azul – last 6

WDDLLW
18 Octvs FC Juarez5–0W
12 Oct@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas3–3D
26 Sepvs Toluca3–3D
20 Sep@ Monterrey0–1L
17 Sep@ Inter Miami0–2L
13 Sepvs Club America4–3W
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Cruz Azul v Pachuca1–2
CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?

On our numbers CF Pachuca have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cruz Azul 45%.

How many goals will there be in CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?

Our predicted score is CF Pachuca 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?

CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hidalgo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.