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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlas v CF Pachuca: numbers & prediction

Liga MX · Mexico · Estadio Jalisco

Atlas

WWLWD
1–4
FT
Atlas 38%Draw 23%CF Pachuca 40% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.55
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: CF Pachuca to win @ 2.88 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCF Pachuca to win ✓40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Atlas vs CF Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CF Pachuca travel to face Atlas on Sunday 8 November in the Liga MX, with Estadio Jalisco the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atlas are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; CF Pachuca are 8th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Atlas, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico San Luis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

CF Pachuca, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Tigres UANL, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atlas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for CF Pachuca.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Pachuca 3–1 Atlas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlas 1.5 xG, CF Pachuca 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas 38%, draw 23%, CF Pachuca 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: CF Pachuca to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas 1–1 CF Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlas38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
CF Pachuca40%fair 2.52 · @2.88
3.05Expected goals
1.50Atlas xG
1.55CF Pachuca xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Atlas 1.5 – 1.5 CF Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Pachuca to win ✓40%2.522.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.57
Draw no betCF Pachuca (draw no bet) ✓51%1.95–
Asian handicapAtlas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.241.17
First team to scoreCF Pachuca to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Pachuca / FT CF Pachuca ✓23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

Atlas – last 6

WWLWDW
31 Oct@ Atletico San Luis1–0W
26 Octvs Puebla4–3W
22 Octvs Club America2–5L
17 Oct@ Necaxa2–0W
11 Octvs Guadalajara Chivas1–1D
26 Sep@ Club Tijuana3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CF Pachuca – last 6

WWLLDL
1 Novvs Tigres UANL3–0W
26 Oct@ Club America2–1W
22 Octvs Cruz Azul1–2L
19 Oct@ Monterrey1–2L
12 Octvs Necaxa3–3D
27 Sep@ Santos Laguna0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Pachuca v Atlas3–1
Atlas vs CF Pachuca head-to-head page →

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruz Azul161024+1132
2Club America16862+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16862+1130
4Toluca16763+1427
5Atlas16835-327
6Santos Laguna16817+325
7Club Leon16655+223
8CF Pachuca16646+922
9Club Tijuana16574+322
10Monterrey15636+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16565-221
12Club Queretaro15627-520
13Puebla16547-419
14Atletico San Luis16547-519
15Tigres UANL16367-815
16Atlante FC16358-1014
17Necaxa16349-1113
18FC Juarez163211-2111

More Liga MX predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

On our numbers Atlas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CF Pachuca 40%.

How many goals will there be in Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 CF Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Atlas vs CF Pachuca?

Atlas vs CF Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.