Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cruz Azul to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tigres UANL welcome Cruz Azul to Estadio Universitario for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 8 November (00:00 WAT). In the table, Tigres UANL are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tigres UANL, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to CF Pachuca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Cruz Azul, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leon, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Tigres UANL.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Cruz Azul 2–1 Tigres UANL.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL 1.4 xG, Cruz Azul 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL 32%, draw 21%, Cruz Azul 47%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Cruz Azul to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigres UANL32%fair 3.16 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Cruz Azul47%fair 2.13 · @2.30
3.05Expected goals
1.35Tigres UANL xG
1.70Cruz Azul xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.4 – 1.7 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cruz Azul 47%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul?
Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
