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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botev Plovdiv v Levski Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Hristo Botev
1–3
FT
Botev Plovdiv 17%Draw 22%Levski Sofia 61% Expected goals 0.98 – 2.02
61%
Betarazi pick

Levski Sofia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Botev Plovdiv welcome Levski Sofia to Stadion Hristo Botev for a First League fixture on Sunday 30 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Levski Sofia are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

Botev Plovdiv, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Botev Vratsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Levski Sofia, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to AEK Athens FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Levski Sofia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Botev Plovdiv.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Levski Sofia 3–0 Botev Plovdiv.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 1.0 xG, Levski Sofia 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 17%, draw 22%, Levski Sofia 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Levski Sofia or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Levski Sofia to win (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Levski Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botev Plovdiv17%fair 5.80 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Levski Sofia61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
3.00Expected goals
0.98Botev Plovdiv xG
2.02Levski Sofia xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.0 – 2.0 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLevski Sofia to win ✓61%1.631.70
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.85
Draw no betLevski Sofia (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapLevski Sofia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreLevski Sofia to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevski Sofia ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Botev Plovdiv – last 6

LLWWLD
24 Aug@ Botev Vratsa0–1L
15 Aug@ Ludogorets0–2L
10 Augvs Spartak Varna3–2W
1 Augvs Cherno More Varna1–0W
27 Jul@ CSKA Sofia2–3L
21 Julvs Lokomotiv Sofia1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Levski Sofia – last 6

LWDWWW
26 Aug@ AEK Athens FC0–4L
22 Augvs Spartak Varna6–0W
18 Augvs AEK Athens FC0–0D
11 Aug@ Kairat Almaty1–0W
7 Augvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv2–0W
4 Augvs Kairat Almaty1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Levski Sofia v Botev Plovdiv3–0
Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Our pick is Levski Sofia to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Levski Sofia 61%.

How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.