CSKA Sofia v Cherno More Varna: numbers & prediction

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA Sofia welcome Cherno More Varna to Balgarska Armiya Stadium for a First League fixture on Sunday 30 August (19:15 WAT). In the table, CSKA Sofia are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 14 matches; Cherno More Varna are 9th (lower half) with 13. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CSKA Sofia, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to OFI, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cherno More Varna, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dunav Ruse, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Cherno More Varna.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia 2.2 xG, Cherno More Varna 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia 62%, draw 21%, Cherno More Varna 17%.
• GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia 2–1 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.