Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLudogorets to win ✗66% · @1.53
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the First League brings Spartak Varna against Ludogorets at Stadion Spartak. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Varna are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spartak Varna, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Levski Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Ludogorets, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Slavia Sofia, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Spartak Varna.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Spartak Varna 1–5 Ludogorets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 0.8 xG, Ludogorets 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 11%, draw 23%, Ludogorets 66%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ludogorets to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 0–2 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Varna11%fair 8.89 · @5.50
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.70
Ludogorets66%fair 1.51 · @1.53
2.92Expected goals
0.80Spartak Varna xG
2.12Ludogorets xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 0.8 – 2.1 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ludogorets 66%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 0–2 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets?
Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
