Levski Sofia 43%Draw 23%Ludogorets 34%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.24
52%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.83
3/10Rating
1.83Odds
2
Value bet: Ludogorets to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLevski Sofia to win43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.36
Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the First League brings Levski Sofia against Ludogorets at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Levski Sofia are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 13 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Levski Sofia, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Red Bull Salzburg, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Ludogorets, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Septemvri Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ludogorets, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Levski Sofia.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Ludogorets 1–1 Levski Sofia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Levski Sofia 0 wins, Ludogorets 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levski Sofia 1.4 xG, Ludogorets 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levski Sofia 43%, draw 23%, Ludogorets 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Ludogorets to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levski Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levski Sofia43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Ludogorets34%fair 2.97 · @3.30
2.67Expected goals
1.43Levski Sofia xG
1.24Ludogorets xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.4 – 1.2 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ludogorets 34%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
