Spartak Varna 39%Draw 23%Lokomotiv Sofia 38%Expected goals 1.46 – 1.43
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Sofia travel to face Spartak Varna on Sunday 20 September in the First League, with Stadion Spartak the venue – the ball rolls at 13:15 WAT. In the table, Spartak Varna are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Spartak Varna, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Slavia Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to CSKA Sofia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Spartak Varna 3–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Spartak Varna 1 win, Lokomotiv Sofia 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Varna 1.5 xG, Lokomotiv Sofia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Varna 39%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Sofia 38%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Varna 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Varna39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Lokomotiv Sofia38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
2.89Expected goals
1.46Spartak Varna xG
1.43Lokomotiv Sofia xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.5 – 1.4 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers Spartak Varna have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lokomotiv Sofia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is Spartak Varna 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
