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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Botev Plovdiv v Slavia Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Hristo Botev Stadium
1–0
FT
Botev Plovdiv 62%Draw 21%Slavia Sofia 17% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.69
62%
Betarazi pick

Botev Plovdiv to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.33

Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Botev Plovdiv welcome Slavia Sofia to Hristo Botev Stadium for a First League fixture on Saturday 10 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Slavia Sofia are 8th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Botev Plovdiv, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Septemvri Sofia, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Slavia Sofia, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Botev Vratsa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Slavia Sofia 0–1 Botev Plovdiv.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 1.7 xG, Slavia Sofia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 62%, draw 21%, Slavia Sofia 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Botev Plovdiv or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Botev Plovdiv to win (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Botev Plovdiv62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Slavia Sofia17%fair 5.99 · @4.80
2.35Expected goals
1.66Botev Plovdiv xG
0.69Slavia Sofia xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%

From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.7 – 0.7 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBotev Plovdiv to win ✓62%1.611.65
Double chanceBotev Plovdiv or draw ✓83%1.201.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.83
Draw no betBotev Plovdiv (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapBotev Plovdiv -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreBotev Plovdiv to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv ✗37%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.33–

Recent results

Botev Plovdiv – last 6

WWWLLL
19 Sep@ Septemvri Sofia3–0W
13 Sepvs Lokomotiv Plovdiv2–0W
4 Sep@ Arda Kardzhali3–2W
30 Augvs Levski Sofia1–3L
24 Aug@ Botev Vratsa0–1L
15 Aug@ Ludogorets0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Slavia Sofia – last 6

WLDWLD
3 Octvs Botev Vratsa2–1W
18 Sepvs CSKA 19481–2L
13 Sepvs Spartak Varna0–0D
7 Sep@ Dunav Ruse1–0W
2 Sepvs Levski Sofia1–2L
28 Augvs Septemvri Sofia1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Slavia Sofia v Botev Plovdiv0–1
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Our pick is Botev Plovdiv to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Slavia Sofia 17%.

How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.