Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Botev Vratsa to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceBotev Vratsa or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Botev Vratsa v Spartak Varna in the First League, played at Hristo Botev Stadium. In the table, Botev Vratsa are 13th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 14 matches; Spartak Varna are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Botev Vratsa, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Slavia Sofia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Spartak Varna, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lokomotiv Sofia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Botev Vratsa, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Spartak Varna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Vratsa 1.9 xG, Spartak Varna 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Vratsa 63%, draw 23%, Spartak Varna 13%.
Lower-risk option: Botev Vratsa or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Botev Vratsa to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botev Vratsa or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Vratsa 1–0 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Vratsa63%fair 1.58 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Spartak Varna13%fair 7.44 · @4.20
2.65Expected goals
1.89Botev Vratsa xG
0.76Spartak Varna xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.9 – 0.8 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Vratsa to win✗
63%
1.58
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Botev Vratsa or draw✗
87%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Botev Vratsa (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Botev Vratsa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Botev Vratsa to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Botev Vratsa ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Botev Vratsa – last 6
LDDWLW
3 Oct
@ Slavia Sofia
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Levski Sofia
0–0
D
4 Sep
@ Septemvri Sofia
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–2
L
24 Aug
vs Botev Plovdiv
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
LDDDLL
20 Sep
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Slavia Sofia
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Ludogorets
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–6
L
17 Aug
vs Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Botev Vratsa or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spartak Varna 13%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–0 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?
Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
