Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tikveš to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTikveš to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceTikveš or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Tikveš vs Aresimi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 24 July: Tikveš v Aresimi in the First League, played at Gradski Stadion Kavadarci. In the table, Tikveš are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Aresimi are 9th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tikveš, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FK Rabotnicki, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Aresimi, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Struga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Aresimi 0–5 Tikveš.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tikveš 2.4 xG, Aresimi 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tikveš 63%, draw 20%, Aresimi 17%.
Lower-risk option: Tikveš or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Tikveš to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tikveš or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tikveš 2–1 Aresimi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tikveš63%fair 1.60 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.35
Aresimi17%fair 5.90 · @3.55
3.47Expected goals
2.45Tikveš xG
1.02Aresimi xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Tikveš 2.4 – 1.0 Aresimi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tikveš or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tikveš vs Aresimi?
On our numbers Tikveš have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aresimi 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tikveš vs Aresimi?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tikveš vs Aresimi?
Our predicted score is Tikveš 2–1 Aresimi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tikveš vs Aresimi?
Tikveš vs Aresimi (First League) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion Kavadarci.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
