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Vardar Skopje v Bregalnica Štip: numbers & prediction

First League · Macedonia · National Arena Toshe Proeski
Vardar Skopje 69%Draw 19%Bregalnica Štip 13% Expected goals 2.18 – 0.90
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVardar Skopje to win ✓69% · @1.17
Double chanceVardar Skopje or draw ✓87% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 25 July the First League brings Vardar Skopje against Bregalnica Štip at National Arena Toshe Proeski. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Vardar Skopje are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Bregalnica Štip are 7th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Vardar Skopje, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Riga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vardar Skopje 2.2 xG, Bregalnica Štip 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vardar Skopje 69%, draw 19%, Bregalnica Štip 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vardar Skopje 2–0 Bregalnica Štip. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vardar Skopje69%fair 1.45 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.60
Bregalnica Štip13%fair 7.93 · @15.00
3.08Expected goals
2.18Vardar Skopje xG
0.90Bregalnica Štip xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Vardar Skopje 2.2 – 0.9 Bregalnica Štip expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVardar Skopje to win ✓69%1.451.17
Double chanceVardar Skopje or draw ✓87%1.141.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.782.00 ▲
Draw no betVardar Skopje (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapVardar Skopje -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
First team to scoreVardar Skopje to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultVardar Skopje ahead at half-time ✓48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vardar Skopje / FT Vardar Skopje ✓43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Vardar Skopje – last 6

LWLWDD
22 Julvs Riga2–3L
14 Jul@ KuPS2–0W
7 Julvs KuPS0–2L
30 Jun@ Virtus3–2W
27 Jun@ La Fiorita1–1D
8 Apr@ Pelister0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bregalnica Štip – last 1

D
3 Mar@ Teteks0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vardar Skopje and Bregalnica Štip.

Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Struga13922+2129
2Shkendija13832+1427
3Tikveš13661+1624
4Vardar Skopje13733+824
5Shkëndija Haraçinë13535-518
6Sileks13454+717
7Bregalnica Štip13427-614
8Bashkimi Kumanovo13328-2111
9Aresimi13247-1710
10Skopje13049-174

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

On our numbers Vardar Skopje have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bregalnica Štip 13%.

How many goals will there be in Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

Our predicted score is Vardar Skopje 2–0 Bregalnica Štip, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip?

Vardar Skopje vs Bregalnica Štip (First League) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at National Arena Toshe Proeski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.