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Bashkimi Kumanovo v Vardar Skopje: numbers & prediction

First League · Macedonia · KF Bashkimi Stadium
3–3
FT
Bashkimi Kumanovo 9%Draw 14%Vardar Skopje 76% Expected goals 0.71 – 2.46
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultVardar Skopje to win ✗76% · @1.12
Double chanceVardar Skopje or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10% · fair 9.58

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Bashkimi Kumanovo v Vardar Skopje in the First League, played at KF Bashkimi Stadium. In the table, Bashkimi Kumanovo are 8th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Vardar Skopje are 4th (among the top four) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bashkimi Kumanovo, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over BVK Konjari, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Vardar Skopje, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Aresimi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Vardar Skopje, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Bashkimi Kumanovo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bashkimi Kumanovo 0.7 xG, Vardar Skopje 2.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 48% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bashkimi Kumanovo 9%, draw 14%, Vardar Skopje 76%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bashkimi Kumanovo 0–3 Vardar Skopje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bashkimi Kumanovo9%fair 10.86 · @13.00
Draw14%fair 6.90 · @8.00
Vardar Skopje76%fair 1.31 · @1.12
3.17Expected goals
0.71Bashkimi Kumanovo xG
2.46Vardar Skopje xG
48%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–213%
0–310%
0–110%
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%

From our goals model: Bashkimi Kumanovo 0.7 – 2.5 Vardar Skopje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVardar Skopje to win ✗76%1.311.12
Double chanceVardar Skopje or draw ✓91%1.101.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betVardar Skopje (draw no bet)89%1.12–
Asian handicapVardar Skopje -1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
First team to scoreVardar Skopje to score first74%1.34–
Half-time resultVardar Skopje ahead at half-time ✗55%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vardar Skopje / FT Vardar Skopje ✗52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗10%9.58–

Recent results

Bashkimi Kumanovo – last 6

WWLLLL
9 Sep@ BVK Konjari5–0W
5 Sep@ Skopje2–1W
30 Augvs Shkëndija Haraçinë1–2L
21 Aug@ Bregalnica Štip0–3L
14 Aug@ Aresimi0–1L
8 Augvs Tikveš0–5L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Vardar Skopje – last 6

WWDWLL
7 Sepvs Aresimi2–0W
3 Sep@ Ovce Pole5–0W
31 Aug@ Tikveš1–1D
24 Augvs Sileks4–1W
16 Aug@ Struga0–1L
9 Augvs Shkendija0–2L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bashkimi Kumanovo and Vardar Skopje.

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Struga13922+2129
2Shkendija13832+1427
3Tikveš13661+1624
4Vardar Skopje13733+824
5Shkëndija Haraçinë13535-518
6Sileks13454+717
7Bregalnica Štip13427-614
8Bashkimi Kumanovo13328-2111
9Aresimi13247-1710
10Skopje13049-174

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje?

On our numbers Bashkimi Kumanovo have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Vardar Skopje 76%.

How many goals will there be in Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje?

Our predicted score is Bashkimi Kumanovo 0–3 Vardar Skopje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje?

Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Vardar Skopje (First League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at KF Bashkimi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.