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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Skopje v Vardar Skopje: numbers & prediction

First League · Macedonia

Skopje

LLWLD
1–2
FT
Skopje 12%Draw 22%Vardar Skopje 66% Expected goals 0.57 – 1.74
66%
Betarazi pick

Vardar Skopje to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultVardar Skopje to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceVardar Skopje or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.70

Skopje vs Vardar Skopje: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Skopje welcome Vardar Skopje for a First League fixture on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Skopje are 10th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 13 matches; Vardar Skopje are 4th (among the top four) with 24. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Skopje, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bregalnica Štip, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Vardar Skopje, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shkëndija Haraçinë, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Vardar Skopje, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Skopje.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Skopje 0.6 xG, Vardar Skopje 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Skopje 12%, draw 22%, Vardar Skopje 66%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vardar Skopje to win (66%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Skopje 0–1 Vardar Skopje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Skopje12%fair 8.54 · @10.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.50
Vardar Skopje66%fair 1.51 · @1.25
2.31Expected goals
0.57Skopje xG
1.74Vardar Skopje xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–215%
0–010%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%

From our goals model: Skopje 0.6 – 1.7 Vardar Skopje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVardar Skopje to win ✓66%1.511.25
Double chanceVardar Skopje or draw ✓88%1.131.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.992.00
Draw no betVardar Skopje (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapVardar Skopje -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreVardar Skopje to score first ✗68%1.47–
Half-time resultVardar Skopje ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vardar Skopje / FT Vardar Skopje ✗42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.70–

Recent results

Skopje – last 6

LLWLDD
23 Sep@ Bregalnica Štip0–1L
14 Sep@ Shkëndija Haraçinë0–1L
9 Sep@ Kozuv Gevgelija1–0W
5 Sepvs Bashkimi Kumanovo1–2L
29 Aug@ Aresimi0–0D
21 Augvs Tikveš1–1D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Vardar Skopje – last 6

WDWWDW
19 Sepvs Shkëndija Haraçinë2–0W
12 Sep@ Bashkimi Kumanovo3–3D
7 Sepvs Aresimi2–0W
3 Sep@ Ovce Pole5–0W
31 Aug@ Tikveš1–1D
24 Augvs Sileks4–1W
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Skopje and Vardar Skopje.

Skopje vs Vardar Skopje head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Struga13922+2129
2Shkendija13832+1427
3Tikveš13661+1624
4Vardar Skopje13733+824
5Shkëndija Haraçinë13535-518
6Sileks13454+717
7Bregalnica Štip13427-614
8Bashkimi Kumanovo13328-2111
9Aresimi13247-1710
10Skopje13049-174

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?

Our pick is Vardar Skopje to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?

On our numbers Skopje have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vardar Skopje 66%.

How many goals will there be in Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?

Our predicted score is Skopje 0–1 Vardar Skopje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Skopje vs Vardar Skopje?

Skopje vs Vardar Skopje (First League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.