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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aresimi v Tikveš: numbers & prediction

First League · Macedonia

Aresimi

DWLDL
1–1
FT

Tikveš

WWDDD
Aresimi 18%Draw 24%Tikveš 58% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.96
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultTikveš to win ✗58% · @1.67
Double chanceTikveš or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Aresimi vs Tikveš: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tikveš travel to face Aresimi on Monday 19 October in the First League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Aresimi are 9th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Tikveš are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aresimi, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sileks, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Tikveš, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bregalnica Štip, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tikveš, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Aresimi.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended Tikveš 5–1 Aresimi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aresimi 0 wins, Tikveš 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aresimi 1.0 xG, Tikveš 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aresimi 18%, draw 24%, Tikveš 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tikveš or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aresimi 1–1 Tikveš. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aresimi18%fair 5.45 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.75
Tikveš58%fair 1.73 · @1.67
3.00Expected goals
1.04Aresimi xG
1.96Tikveš xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Aresimi 1.0 – 2.0 Tikveš expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTikveš to win ✗58%1.731.67
Double chanceTikveš or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.65
Draw no betTikveš (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapAresimi +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreTikveš to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultTikveš ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tikveš / FT Tikveš ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Aresimi – last 6

DWLDLD
10 Octvs Sileks1–1D
24 Sep@ Mogila12–0W
21 Sep@ Struga0–6L
11 Sepvs Shkendija2–2D
7 Sep@ Vardar Skopje0–2L
29 Augvs Skopje0–0D
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tikveš – last 6

WWDDDW
10 Octvs Bregalnica Štip3–0W
6 Oct@ Krosu Sport Bitola13–0W
2 Oct@ FK Rabotnicki1–1D
18 Sep@ Sileks0–0D
11 Sepvs Struga2–2D
4 Sep@ Shkendija3–1W
3.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jul 2026Tikveš v Aresimi5–1
4 Mar 2026Aresimi v Tikveš0–5
Aresimi vs Tikveš head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Struga13922+2129
2Shkendija13832+1427
3Tikveš13661+1624
4Vardar Skopje13733+824
5Shkëndija Haraçinë13535-518
6Sileks13454+717
7Bregalnica Štip13427-614
8Bashkimi Kumanovo13328-2111
9Aresimi13247-1710
10Skopje13049-174

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aresimi vs Tikveš?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Aresimi vs Tikveš?

On our numbers Aresimi have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tikveš 58%.

How many goals will there be in Aresimi vs Tikveš?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aresimi vs Tikveš?

Our predicted score is Aresimi 1–1 Tikveš, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Aresimi vs Tikveš?

Aresimi vs Tikveš (First League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.