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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sileks v Vardar Skopje: numbers & prediction

First League · Macedonia

Sileks

DWWWD
0–1
FT
Sileks 42%Draw 23%Vardar Skopje 35% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.15
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Vardar Skopje to win @ 3.21 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSileks to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01

Sileks vs Vardar Skopje: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vardar Skopje travel to face Sileks on Saturday 7 November in the First League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Sileks are 6th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Vardar Skopje are 4th (among the top four) with 24.

Current form

Sileks, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Skopje, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Vardar Skopje, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Struga, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Aug 2026) it ended Vardar Skopje 4–1 Sileks. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sileks 0 wins, Vardar Skopje 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sileks 1.3 xG, Vardar Skopje 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sileks 42%, draw 23%, Vardar Skopje 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Vardar Skopje to win @3.21 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sileks 1–1 Vardar Skopje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sileks42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.12
Vardar Skopje35%fair 2.84 · @3.21
2.44Expected goals
1.29Sileks xG
1.15Vardar Skopje xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Sileks 1.3 – 1.1 Vardar Skopje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSileks to win ✗42%2.392.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.80
Draw no betSileks (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapVardar Skopje +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.441.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.05
First team to scoreSileks to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sileks / FT Sileks ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.01–

Recent results

Sileks – last 6

DWWWDD
31 Oct@ Skopje0–0D
28 Oct@ Pelister3–0W
23 Octvs Shkëndija Haraçinë2–0W
18 Oct@ Bashkimi Kumanovo3–0W
10 Oct@ Aresimi1–1D
18 Sepvs Tikveš0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vardar Skopje – last 6

LLDWWW
31 Octvs Struga0–1L
28 Octvs Tikveš1–3L
24 Oct@ Shkendija0–0D
17 Oct@ Bregalnica Štip1–0W
11 Oct@ Skopje2–1W
19 Sepvs Shkëndija Haraçinë2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Aug 2026Vardar Skopje v Sileks4–1
9 Mar 2026Sileks v Vardar Skopje0–1
Sileks vs Vardar Skopje head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Struga13922+2129
2Shkendija13832+1427
3Tikveš13661+1624
4Vardar Skopje13733+824
5Shkëndija Haraçinë13535-518
6Sileks13454+717
7Bregalnica Štip13427-614
8Bashkimi Kumanovo13328-2111
9Aresimi13247-1710
10Skopje13049-174

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?

On our numbers Sileks have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vardar Skopje 35%.

How many goals will there be in Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?

Our predicted score is Sileks 1–1 Vardar Skopje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sileks vs Vardar Skopje?

Sileks vs Vardar Skopje (First League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.