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Dordrecht v Jong Ajax: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · M-Scores Stadion
2–1
FT
Dordrecht 54%Draw 20%Jong Ajax 26% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.56
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultDordrecht to win ✓54% · @1.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.29

Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dordrecht welcome Jong Ajax to M-Scores Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 7 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Dordrecht are 4th, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Dordrecht, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to RSC Anderlecht II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Jong Ajax, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Jong AZ, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Dordrecht, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Jong Ajax.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Dordrecht 0–1 Jong Ajax.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dordrecht 1.9 xG, Jong Ajax 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dordrecht 54%, draw 20%, Jong Ajax 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dordrecht 1–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dordrecht54%fair 1.85 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.75
Jong Ajax26%fair 3.86 · @5.80
3.47Expected goals
1.91Dordrecht xG
1.56Jong Ajax xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.9 – 1.6 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

DordrechtJong Ajax
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average-23%-8%
Goals conceded vs average+28%+21%
Our expected goals here1.691.86

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDordrecht to win ✓54%1.851.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.55
Draw no betDordrecht (draw no bet) ✓68%1.48–
Asian handicapJong Ajax +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
First team to scoreDordrecht to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultDordrecht ahead at half-time ✓36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dordrecht / FT Dordrecht ✓28%3.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.29–

Recent results

Dordrecht – last 6

LDWWLL
1 Augvs RSC Anderlecht II0–2L
25 Julvs Al Khaleej Saihat2–2D
18 Julvs Lusail City5–0W
14 Julvs Borussia Dortmund II4–1W
11 Julvs Excelsior0–2L
4 Julvs Feyenoord0–6L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Jong Ajax – last 6

LLWLLL
17 Jul@ Jong AZ0–3L
24 Aprvs Jong Utrecht0–2L
17 Apr@ Jong PSV U211–0W
13 Aprvs FC OSS1–2L
6 Apr@ Vitesse1–6L
3 Apr@ ADO Den Haag2–4L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Dordrecht v Jong Ajax0–1
Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?

On our numbers Dordrecht have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong Ajax 26%.

How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?

Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?

Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.