Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Vitesse vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waalwijk travel to face Vitesse on Friday 7 August in the Eerste Divisie, with GelreDome the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Vitesse are 15th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Waalwijk are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vitesse, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al-Jazira, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Waalwijk, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kifisia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitesse 1.5 xG, Waalwijk 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitesse 37%, draw 24%, Waalwijk 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitesse 1–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitesse37%fair 2.67 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.75
Waalwijk39%fair 2.59 · @2.62
2.92Expected goals
1.47Vitesse xG
1.45Waalwijk xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.5 – 1.5 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vitesse
Waalwijk
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-12%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.36
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✗
39%
2.59
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Draw no bet
Waalwijk (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Waalwijk +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
First team to score
Vitesse to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.97
–
Recent results
Vitesse – last 6
LDWDDW
18 Jul
vs Al-Jazira
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs AEK Athens FC
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund II
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Roda
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs MVV
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Jong Utrecht
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
WLLDDW
2 Aug
vs Kifisia
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Patro Eisden
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Bochum II
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Kozakken Boys
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Jong AZ
1–1
D
30 Jun
vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Waalwijk.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Vitesse vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Waalwijk 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Waalwijk?
Vitesse vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
