Jong Ajax 30%Draw 20%Emmen 50%Expected goals 1.11 – 1.54
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Emmen to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEmmen to win ✓50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Jong Ajax vs Emmen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Emmen travel to face Jong Ajax on Monday 17 August in the Eerste Divisie, with Sportpark De Toekomst the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Emmen are 6th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dordrecht, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Emmen, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Roda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Emmen, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Jong Ajax.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Emmen 0–0 Jong Ajax.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.1 xG, Emmen 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 30%, draw 20%, Emmen 50%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Emmen to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 1–1 Emmen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax30%fair 3.29 · @2.80
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.85
Emmen50%fair 2.00 · @2.20
2.65Expected goals
1.11Jong Ajax xG
1.54Emmen xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.1 – 1.5 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Emmen?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Emmen 50%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Emmen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Emmen?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–1 Emmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Emmen?
Jong Ajax vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
