Helmond Sport 14%Draw 23%NAC Breda 64%Expected goals 1.19 – 2.51
64%
Betarazi pick
NAC Breda to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNAC Breda to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceNAC Breda or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
NAC Breda travel to face Helmond Sport on Friday 16 October in the Eerste Divisie, with GS Staalwerken Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Helmond Sport are 7th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; NAC Breda are 13th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Helmond Sport, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC OSS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
NAC Breda, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over MVV, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours NAC Breda, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Helmond Sport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Helmond Sport 1.2 xG, NAC Breda 2.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Helmond Sport 14%, draw 23%, NAC Breda 64%.
Lower-risk option: NAC Breda or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NAC Breda to win (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Helmond Sport 1–2 NAC Breda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Helmond Sport14%fair 7.28 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.40
NAC Breda64%fair 1.57 · @1.50
3.70Expected goals
1.19Helmond Sport xG
2.51NAC Breda xG
63%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.2 – 2.5 NAC Breda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Double chance
NAC Breda or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
NAC Breda (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
NAC Breda -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
First team to score
NAC Breda to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
NAC Breda ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Helmond Sport – last 6
LDLLWW
9 Oct
@ FC OSS
1–3
L
2 Oct
vs Heracles
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ MVV
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Den Bosch
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs VVV Venlo
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
NAC Breda – last 6
WDWWLL
9 Oct
vs MVV
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Vitesse
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs FC Eindhoven
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ De Graafschap
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Jong Utrecht
2–3
L
4 Sep
@ Waalwijk
2–4
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Helmond Sport and NAC Breda.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
Our pick is NAC Breda to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NAC Breda 64%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–2 NAC Breda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
