VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 16 October: VVV Venlo v Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie, played at Seacon - De Koel. In the table, VVV Venlo are 2nd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong AZ are 19th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
VVV Venlo, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Jong Ajax, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Jong AZ, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Den Bosch, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VVV Venlo 2.1 xG, Jong AZ 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VVV Venlo 44%, draw 20%, Jong AZ 36%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: VVV Venlo 2–1 Jong AZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VVV Venlo44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
Jong AZ36%fair 2.77 · @2.80
4.00Expected goals
2.11VVV Venlo xG
1.89Jong AZ xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: VVV Venlo 2.1 – 1.9 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VVV Venlo to win✗
44%
2.26
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Draw no bet
VVV Venlo (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Jong AZ +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
VVV Venlo to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
VVV Venlo ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.00
–
Recent results
VVV Venlo – last 6
WWLWWL
9 Oct
@ Jong Ajax
3–0
W
4 Oct
vs Roda
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ FC Volendam
2–3
L
18 Sep
@ Jong Utrecht
3–1
W
11 Sep
vs FC OSS
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ Helmond Sport
2–4
L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Jong AZ – last 6
LWDLWW
9 Oct
vs Den Bosch
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs FC Volendam
4–1
W
14 Sep
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Heracles
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Dordrecht
6–3
W
31 Aug
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VVV Venlo and Jong AZ.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers VVV Venlo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong AZ 36%.
How many goals will there be in VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is VVV Venlo 2–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?
VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Seacon - De Koel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
