Value bet: FC Volendam to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Volendam to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
De Graafschap travel to face FC Volendam on Friday 30 October in the Eerste Divisie, with Kras Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, FC Volendam are 11th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; De Graafschap are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Volendam, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to FC Eindhoven, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
De Graafschap, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Roda, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Volendam 2.3 xG, De Graafschap 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Volendam 61%, draw 13%, De Graafschap 26%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: FC Volendam to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Volendam 2–1 De Graafschap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Volendam61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw13%fair 7.51 · @3.90
De Graafschap26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
3.75Expected goals
2.32FC Volendam xG
1.43De Graafschap xG
70%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: FC Volendam 2.3 – 1.4 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Volendam to win✗
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Draw no bet
FC Volendam (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
De Graafschap +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
FC Volendam to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
FC Volendam ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Volendam / FT FC Volendam✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
FC Volendam – last 6
LWDWLW
27 Oct
@ FC Eindhoven
3–5
L
23 Oct
vs Jong Utrecht
6–2
W
18 Oct
@ Waalwijk
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Vitesse
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs VVV Venlo
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
LDLWDW
27 Oct
@ Roda
0–1
L
23 Oct
vs Waalwijk
1–1
D
19 Oct
@ Jong Ajax
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Den Bosch
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Volendam and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers FC Volendam have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 13% and De Graafschap 26%.
How many goals will there be in FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is FC Volendam 2–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?
FC Volendam vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Kras Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
