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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Roda v Jong AZ: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Roda

WWWDL
2–1
FT

Jong AZ

WDLWD
Roda 60%Draw 20%Jong AZ 21% Expected goals 2.22 – 1.24
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultRoda to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.41

Roda vs Jong AZ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Friday 30 October: Roda v Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie, played at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong AZ are 19th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Roda, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over De Graafschap, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Jong AZ, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 5–4 win over Helmond Sport, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours Roda, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Jong AZ.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Jong AZ 2–0 Roda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Roda 2.2 xG, Jong AZ 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 60%, draw 20%, Jong AZ 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 2–1 Jong AZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Roda60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.00
Jong AZ21%fair 4.83 · @4.00
3.46Expected goals
2.22Roda xG
1.24Jong AZ xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Roda 2.2 – 1.2 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRoda to win ✓60%1.671.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.44
Draw no betRoda (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapJong AZ +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
First team to scoreRoda to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultRoda ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Roda / FT Roda ✓38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.41–

Recent results

Roda – last 6

WWWDLW
27 Octvs De Graafschap1–0W
23 Oct@ Almere City FC3–2W
19 Oct@ Jong Utrecht2–1W
9 Octvs Jong PSV U211–1D
4 Oct@ VVV Venlo0–2L
26 Sepvs Waalwijk2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Jong AZ – last 6

WDLWDL
23 Octvs Helmond Sport5–4W
16 Oct@ VVV Venlo4–4D
9 Octvs Den Bosch0–1L
18 Sepvs FC Volendam4–1W
14 Sep@ Jong PSV U211–1D
11 Sep@ Heracles2–3L
2.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Jong AZ v Roda2–0
Roda vs Jong AZ head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Roda vs Jong AZ?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Roda vs Jong AZ?

On our numbers Roda have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong AZ 21%.

How many goals will there be in Roda vs Jong AZ?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Roda vs Jong AZ?

Our predicted score is Roda 2–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Roda vs Jong AZ?

Roda vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.