Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Willem II v NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie, played at Koning Willem II Stadion. In the table, Willem II are 18th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 12 matches; NEC Nijmegen are 11th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Willem II, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to GO Ahead Eagles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
NEC Nijmegen, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olympiakos Piraeus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 1.1 xG, NEC Nijmegen 2.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 13%, draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen 66%.
Lower-risk option: NEC Nijmegen or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–2 NEC Nijmegen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Willem II13%fair 7.54 · @4.75
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.35
NEC Nijmegen66%fair 1.53 · @1.59
3.68Expected goals
1.14Willem II xG
2.54NEC Nijmegen xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.1 – 2.5 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✓
66%
1.53
1.59
Double chance
NEC Nijmegen or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Draw no bet
NEC Nijmegen (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
NEC Nijmegen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
First team to score
NEC Nijmegen to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Willem II – last 6
LWWDLL
8 Aug
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–4
L
1 Aug
vs OFI
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs KV Mechelen
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Quick Boys
1–2
L
20 May
vs FC Volendam
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
DLDLLW
11 Aug
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Telstar
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Sevilla
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs SV Elversberg
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Al-Fayha
7–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and NEC Nijmegen.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
On our numbers Willem II have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 66%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–2 NEC Nijmegen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
