Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓42% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Utrecht welcome AZ Alkmaar to Stadion Galgenwaard for a Eredivisie fixture on Saturday 15 August (17:45 WAT). In the table, Utrecht are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; AZ Alkmaar are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Utrecht, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Groningen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over ADO Den Haag, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AZ Alkmaar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Utrecht.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Utrecht 2–0 AZ Alkmaar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Utrecht 1.4 xG, AZ Alkmaar 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Utrecht 38%, draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Utrecht 1–1 AZ Alkmaar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Utrecht38%fair 2.63 · @2.62
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
AZ Alkmaar42%fair 2.38 · @2.36
2.80Expected goals
1.36Utrecht xG
1.44AZ Alkmaar xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.4 – 1.4 AZ Alkmaar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AZ Alkmaar 42%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 1–1 AZ Alkmaar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
