Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSV Eindhoven travel to face Excelsior on Saturday 15 August in the Eredivisie, with Stadion Woudestein the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Excelsior are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; PSV Eindhoven are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Excelsior, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Cambuur, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
PSV Eindhoven, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortuna Sittard, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Excelsior, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for PSV Eindhoven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Excelsior 1.3 xG, PSV Eindhoven 2.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Excelsior 21%, draw 16%, PSV Eindhoven 64%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Excelsior21%fair 4.81 · @4.55
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @4.65
PSV Eindhoven64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
3.80Expected goals
1.33Excelsior xG
2.46PSV Eindhoven xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–27%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Excelsior 1.3 – 2.5 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Draw no bet
PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
PSV Eindhoven -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
First team to score
PSV Eindhoven to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Excelsior – last 6
WWWWWW
7 Aug
@ Cambuur
4–0
W
1 Aug
@ De Graafschap
5–1
W
24 Jul
@ Heracles
5–3
W
18 Jul
@ NAC Breda
3–1
W
11 Jul
@ Dordrecht
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Cambuur
3–2
W
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
DLWLWW
8 Aug
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
28 Jul
vs FC Eindhoven
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Villarreal
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs Union St. Gilloise
7–3
W
11 Jul
vs Raków Częstochowa
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven.
What is the prediction for Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers Excelsior have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and PSV Eindhoven 64%.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven?
Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Woudestein.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
